G20 Exclusion Highlights Need for Strategic Reset in US-SA Relations

In a recent op-ed for the Sunday Times, Kuseni Dlamini highlighted the potential repercussions of President Donald Trump’s announcement that South Africa will not participate in the upcoming G20 summit in Miami. Dlamini argues that this decision is more than just about scheduling; it’s a calculated diplomatic signal that could threaten long-standing US-South Africa trade relations.

Historically, the US has viewed South Africa as its key trade and investment partner in Africa, a notion that Dlamini strongly supports. He emphasizes that the US’s entrenched position in South Africa is enviously regarded by global competitors such as China, Russia, and India. Notably, he points out that over 70% of South Africans hold a favourable view of the US, affirming its significant influence.

Dlamini stresses that US companies are among the most valued employers in South Africa due to their commitment to ethics, skills and technology transfer, and support for small and medium enterprises (SMEs). This, he asserts, strengthens the need for the US to protect its position against any geopolitical rivals. He states, “The US-South Africa trade and investment relationship is, in substance, the strongest and most productive partnership anywhere on the African continent.”

With over 500 US companies operating in South Africa, Dlamini notes that these firms directly employ 250,000 people, with millions benefiting from supply chains. Furthermore, US foreign direct investment in Africa amounts to over $7.5 billion, highlighting South Africa’s role as a regional hub for various sectors, including manufacturing and digital services.

Dlamini makes a compelling case when he articulates the mutual benefits that stem from the US-South Africa relationship, framing it as a two-way street. He points out that South African investments in the US have reached $6.3 billion, supporting around 30,000 jobs. He urges a shift in narrative, stating that both nations can foster a constructive partnership.

The op-ed also addresses the need for a more positive and unified narrative around US-South Africa relations. Dlamini suggests that the American Chamber of Commerce in South Africa’s upcoming research will reveal the full value of these ties. He asserts that current trade deficits should not be seen as weaknesses but as opportunities for strategic input sourcing by the US.

According to Dlamini, the trade dynamics illustrate a strong US balance of payments surplus, further underpinning the partnership’s value. He notes, “South Africa generates substantial returns for US investors, demonstrating the strategic value of this relationship far beyond trade flows.”

Despite the existing challenges in their relationship, Dlamini believes that the two countries can turn areas of divergence into points of convergence through effective diplomacy. He quotes Nelson Mandela, emphasising that global partnerships are essential for progress. Dlamini calls for a consistent and constructive narrative from South Africa to improve relations with the US, urging a deliberate approach to positive messaging and diplomatic engagement.

In conclusion, Dlamini’s op-ed serves as a clarion call for both nations to engage in a proactive and collaborative manner. He advocates for the need to invest significantly in this vital relationship to benefit their respective people and economies, stressing that a well-crafted narrative can pave the way for future success.

Dlamini is chairman of the executive committee of the South African Institute of International Affairs at Wits University, and president of the American Chamber of Commerce South Africa. He writes in his personal capacity.